Round 1 predictions: In Ottawa, a dog has its day

I’ve written a fair bit on the Ottawa vs. Boston series – here, here – so I’ll keep this one short.

Boston Bruins (44-31-7) at Ottawa Senators (44-28-10)

At face value, it makes sense that the Bruins are favoured in this series. Look purely at possession and goal differential numbers and you can see why.

Key numbers

Lines: Bruins -180, Senators +160

5-on-5 FF%: 55.3
Tuukka Rask save percentage: .915
Goal differential: +22

5-on-5 FF%: 48.8
Craig Anderson save percentage: .926
Goal differential: -2

I’ll admit there’s probably some major proximity bias at work here, but for some reason I don’t hate Ottawa in this series. I, like everyone else, have been underestimating them all season long, and I do like teams with really good goaltenders who get to start at home. Add in Ottawa’s 4-0 record against the Bruins in the regular season, and this could be a lot closer than many people suspect.

James Gordon is publisher of Follow him on Twitter here. Follow Hockey Markets on Twitter here.

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